Is There Light at the End of the Tunnel?

The Dow is plunging, financial institutions are failing, credit is drying up and long-time Wall Street icons are plummeting into bankruptcy. The U.S. economy seems to be falling like a poorly stacked house of cards. The news is full of doom and gloom and more gloom. Is there light at the end of the tunnel?

In a word, yes. But it may be a long tunnel, say manufacturing experts. There are things you can do to calm worried employees and weather the storm, says Joe Cogliano in Manufacturing & Technology eJournal.

  • Keep your staff in the communications loop, says Jay Kuhn, president of Definity Partners, a business improvement company. When the economy tightens up, employees worry about job security, providing for their family, even putting gas in their car to get to work. All that worrying takes a toll on worker productivity. Being honest about what’s happening in your company will bolster employee morale. “Workers are going home and they are hearing bad news everyday,” says Kuhn. “It’s important they know what’s going on because everything the company does is really going to be taken as a negative sign, whether it’s meant to be taken that way or not.” Employers should be prepared to answer questions and explain even minor changes like switching an insurance carrier to reign in employee nervousness. Keeping employees in the loop can alleviate their fears and keep office gossip in hand.
  • Keep things positive. Worry and stress take a physical toll on workers which can result in increased absence rates. Keeping things positive helps make workers want to come to work.
  • Embrace patriotism. Historically, Americans respond positively to hardship and sacrifice when they know they are helping their country. “Small and medium-sized businesses need to realize they’re the backbone of our economic growth and job creation,” says David Velie, managing partner of Amend Consulting/Techsolve, a manufacturing improvement consulting firm. “Remind teams that they’re the strength of the economy, not the Fortune 500s and the housing sector.”
  • Maintain your cash flow. Take a close look at factors that affect your cash flow. You may need to reign in credit terms and be more aggressive about collections to improve your cash flow. Watch for potential cash-draining trouble spots. Kuhn says business owners should base every decision on a “cash is king” model.

Things may be rough for all of us for a year or two, but as Kuhn points out, “The economy does come back; it always comes back.”

ProMat 2009 to Demonstrate Supply Chain Solutions

Well having spent 20 bitter, cold winters in Chicago shoveling endless mounds of snow, I have to admit that when I got my invitation to ProMat 2009, I was underwhelmed about the offer to “join us in January in Chicago.” However, you can’t fault Chicago for its exciting city life, excellent restaurants, magnificent skyline and ever-patrolling army of snowplows, so I’m game for another frosty experience in the Windy City. And who could miss the Material Handling Industry of America’s annual international exposition? ProMat 2009, Solutions that Make the Supply Chain Work, promises to provide an invigorating look at the hot new trends and innovations in material handling and logistics.

ProMat will showcase more than 800 solution-packed exhibits from top equipment and technology providers in the material handling and logistics industries. It’s your opportunity to not only talk to the pros but see their solutions to industry applications in action. Given the country’s current economic problems, I think we can all benefit from solutions that promise to streamline operations, increase productivity, reduce costs, improve customer service and improve our bottom line.

I’m particularly looking forward to Forrest Sawyer’s moderation of the keynote discussion on building the workforce of the future. We’ve discussed in this space before the workforce challenges that will face our industry in the coming years: retiring boomers, declining worker population, increased workforce diversity, life/work balance and a move toward more technical skill sets. These issues aren’t going to go away and we, as an industry, need to develop strategies for embracing the challenges of the future.

We’ve also talked in this space about the globalization of material handling, logistics and industry in general. With buyers and sellers from more than 90 countries in attendance, ProMat offers an opportunity to start making connections so you’ll be ready to flex your global wings.

Education is always a major focus of the annual MHIA show. This year’s Knowledge Center will bring 100 Educational Seminars to the show floor, all free to attendees, as is the keynote discussion. Seminars will focus on the latest material handling and logistics trends and innovations for manufacturing, distribution, and supply chain operations.

ProMat 2009 will be held from January 12-15, 2009 at McCormick Place South in Chicago, Illinois. Plan to go and learn about emerging trends and leading edge developments in the industry. See solutions in action and talk to their purveyors. Network with other professionals from across the country and around the globe. ProMat 2009 is your chance to learn, explore and rekindle your passion. For complete information and registration, visit the ProMat website.

Hope for the Future: Redefining the Auto Industry

Despite harsh criticism, the President and Congress seem poised to throw a lifeline to America’s struggling auto industry. Critics say Detroit’s problems stem from 30 years of short-sightedness and poor decision-making. Failure to recognize future trends toward smaller, more fuel-efficient vehicles compounded by failure to aggressively address budget-busting labor demands head critics’ lists of the poor management practices that have led to the U.S. auto industry’s financial woes (see our Nov. 12 post). Today, the auto industry defends itself.

U.S. auto industry representatives dispute their critics, saying critics oversimplify the issues and don’t credit automakers for the significant progress made in recent years. “In the last five years, there’s been more restructuring done in the automotive business than any other business in the history of the United States,” said Tony Cervone, General Motors VP of communications.

Auto industry spokesmen cite a decade’s worth of tough cost cutting measures, improved productivity and their switch to the production of more competitive, fuel-efficient cars as indications that Detroit has been working hard to reverse course and increase its competitiveness with popular foreign imports. They point out that their ability to compete is severely hampered by the demands of powerful labor unions and the strictures of multiple government regulations.

The recessionary economy and tight credit have placed additional burdens on automakers. New car sales are down, in part, because consumers aren’t spending. Across the economic board, consumers are harboring their financial resources and taking a wait and see attitude about the nation’s economic future. Adding insult to injury, the tight credit market has made it nearly impossible for people who want to buy a new car to get financing. Burned by the mortgage meltdown, banks have reined in lending practices and raised loan requirements.

The news isn’t all doom and gloom, however. Capitalizing on fuel-efficient designs initiated in 2000, Detroit is finally rolling out cheaper, competitive alternatives to the Asian-designed vehicles that dominate that sector of the market. Financial pressure is forcing the industry to consolidate and streamline production practices. President-elect Obama’s reminder to the American people that we will all have to sacrifice if the country is to weather the current economic crisis could play out in more reasonable labor contracts. And that Congressional lifeline is likely to come with lots of strings attached that should give Detroit the needed incentive to redefine itself more competitively.

Next time: Lessons to be learned from the auto industry meltdown

America Needs to Rebuild Industrial Base to Survive

The auto industry bailout and its repercussions are topics of hot debate. It now appears that federal money will come with some long apron strings that will force Detroit to become smarter, leaner and more forward-thinking. That’s never a bad thing for any business and could enable a mighty phoenix to arise from today’s ashes.

Detroit’s problems put a glaring spotlight on America’s loss of the massive industrial base that made us a world superpower. Many of the major industries and manufacturing enterprises that once dominated the American economy have been shipped overseas. To stay competitive with the flood of cheap foreign products that have inundated our markets, American businesses have been moving manufacturing plants overseas where labor and often transportation and natural resources are cheaper. Since 2001, millions of U.S. manufacturing jobs have been lost, contributing to the more than 10 million Americans now unemployed. Politicians are just beginning to understand the high economic price exacted by outsourcing our manufacturing base.

In a recent column posted on the Alliance for American Manufacturing’s blog ManufactureThis, the economic benefits of manufacturing jobs were explained by Peter Navarro, a CNBC contributor and professor at the Paul Merage School of Business at the University of California-Irvine. “Without a robust manufacturing base, the U.S. economy will lack the core strength to sustain any robust longer-term economic growth,” Navarro says. With nearly 3 million American workers relying on the auto industry and its supply chain for their income, America can’t afford to lose an industry that constitutes one-fifth of the 15 million manufacturing jobs left in America.

It’s the “multiplier effect,” the ability to create jobs downstream, that makes manufacturing jobs so valuable to economic stability and growth. Service jobs, which account for the bulk of U.S. jobs today, have a multiplier effect that is less than half that of manufacturing jobs. As Navarro explains, “This means that for every one job created — or saved! — in manufacturing, an additional four to five jobs are created downstream — from cops, firefighters, and teachers to dry cleaners, insurance agents, plumbers, and real estate brokers.”

But the economic effect of manufacturing jobs is even greater because they generally pay more than service sector jobs. This means more money going back into the economy, Navarro points out. Bailing out the auto industry, one of America’s last major manufacturers, is essential to our economic recovery. As Navarro says, “the U.S. economy will still never return to its former levels of long-term growth, glory and prosperity without a full restoration of its manufacturing base.”

Trailer Mover Pulls Heavy Equipment with Ease

There have always been strongmen who pitted themselves against modern machines in amazing feats of strength. Back when you were a small fry you probably watched them on TV or might have seen them in action at the county fair. Muscles bulging, in true John Henry fashion, these guys would harness themselves to a tractor trailer or railcar or some other amazingly heavy immovable object and with brute strength pull it down a street or across a field to the jaw-dropping awe of their audience.

Today, you can accomplish the same incredible feat and without the bulging muscles of a steel-driving man like John Henry. DJ Products’ amazing TrailerCaddy trailer mover allows a single, ordinary worker to push and pull a RV, camper, equipment trailer or boat with ease. The electric-powered TrailerCaddy is the perfect solution for moving wheeled trailers down an assembly line or into holding areas during manufacture. It’s the ideal tool for moving and positioning trailers at a showroom or trade show.

Less bulky than traditional material handling equipment used to pull trailers, DJ Products’ powered trailer mover provides precise operator control and maximum maneuverability, even in confined areas. Far less costly to maintain than other trailer pulling equipment on the market, the DJ Products trailer mover also significantly decreases accident rates and their associated costs. Superior maneuverability and operator control also mean less chance of damage to surrounding parts and equipment.

Like all of DJ Products’ superior powered movers, the TrailerCaddy trailer mover is ergonomically-designed to eliminate the risk of musculoskeletal injury caused by pushing and pulling tasks. Overextension and strain on muscles during the pushing, pulling and maneuvering of heavy loads can cause severe physical damage to workers. Treatment of musculoskeletal injuries is long-term and expensive. In addition to high medical costs, musculoskeletal injuries can significantly increase insurance, workmen’s compensation, disability and lost man-hour costs. The ergonomic design of all DJ Products’ pushers, pullers and movers is geared to eliminate the considerable physical strain of moving heavy objects, thereby reducing the negative impact of accidents and injuries on your bottom line.

Visit the DJ Products website for full specs and to see the amazing TrailerCaddy trailer mover in action.

Manufacturing Faces Another Year of Tough Times

It looks like the start of 2009 will bring more of the same for U.S. manufacturers, but things may ease up as the year progresses. The economic difficulties that started with the mortgage crisis and snowballed with this fall’s stock market crash will take time to correct. While some economic experts are predicting a minimum three-year recovery period before we again see a robust U.S. economy; others see small indications of coming recovery. 

According to the semiannual forecast recently issued by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM), manufacturers anticipate a 1.1% net revenue loss over the coming year. While definitely disappointing, it’s an improvement over the 2.2% decrease reported for 2008. Those industries that have been particularly hard hit this year include: primary metals, nonmetallic mineral products, fabricated metal products, textile mills, computer and electronic products, machinery, paper products, furniture, transportation equipment, plastics and rubber products. Revenue increases in 2009 are predicted to come largely from petroleum and coal products, electrical equipment, appliances and components, printing, food and beverage products, tobacco, apparel and leather goods and chemical products.

“Manufacturing purchasing and supply executives lack their usual optimism about their organizations’ prospects as they consider the first half of 2009,” said Norbert Ore, chair of ISM’s Manufacturing Business Survey Committee; “however, they are somewhat more positive about the second half. While 2008 has been a challenging year overall, we are apparently seeing a rapid halt to the inflationary cycle of the past several years as it relates to manufacturing inputs.”

ISM reports that manufacturers are operating at 75.2% normal capacity, down from 78.6% reported in April 2008. Sixty-five percent of the manufacturers surveyed by ISM expect their 2009 revenues to be the same or smaller than in 2008. To cope with economic woes, manufacturers are expected to decrease capital expenditures, reduce on-hand inventories, layoff more workers to decrease labor and benefit costs, and increase exports.

It looks like another year of belt-tightening for most of us. But all is not doom and gloom. Manufacturers should view this as an opportunity to tighten up their operations and improve efficiency across the board. This is an opportunity to learn to run leaner and meaner than your competition. Tightening up your operations today will better position you to compete in the future.

Gloomy Manufacturing Outlook to Brighten in 2009

For just about all of us, 2008 has turned out to be a tough year. According to statistics posted on Manufacturing & Technology eJournal, three straight months of no growth have plummeted the manufacturing index to 26-year lows; and it hasn’t reached bottom yet. 

“It appears that manufacturing is experiencing significant demand destruction as a result of recent events, with members indicating challenges associated with the financial crisis, interruptions from the gulf hurricane, and the lagging impact from higher oil prices,” Norbert Ore, chair of the Institute for Supply Management’s Business Survey Committee, told eJournal.

Adding insult to injury, contractions in the global economy have caused export orders to decrease after 70 consecutive months of growth. Manufacturers who were running at 78.6% capacity last April were operating at just 75.2% capacity by December.

While tough times are expected to continue into the first half of 2009, all is not doom and gloom. The sun should start to peek out within a few months. Manufacturers are already realizing a small boon from decreased commodity prices and lower fuel prices. They are guardedly optimistic that the manufacturing climate will begin to ease during the second half of 2009, particularly as credit improves. As the dollar strengthens, export orders are expected to return to normal strength. Adding another item to the plus column, Ore noted, “While 2008 has been a challenging year overall, we are apparently seeing a rapid halt to the inflationary cycle of the past several years as it relates to manufacturing inputs.”

ISM predicts a 1.1% net decrease in manufacturing revenue for 2009 which would actually be an improvement over the 2.2% decrease reported in 2008. While little to no growth is expected in most manufacturing sectors over the next year, most will stop losing ground. ISM actually expects small gains in some areas, including petroleum and coal products, electrical equipment, appliances and components, printing and related activities, food and beverage products, tobacco products, apparel and leather products and chemicals.

Manufacturers and other businesses are expected to hold their ground by decreasing capital expenditures, reducing inventories and downsizing workforces to decrease labor and benefit costs.

Next time: What it will take to succeed in 2009.

Prepare for Red Tape; Regulation Is Back in Vogue

As President-elect Obama prepares to take office, there’s a lot of talk about “accountability,” particularly in the face of the large handouts to the banking and now auto industries. It looks like Detroit’s auto makers are going to pay the price for the rather arrogant behavior of the nation’s financial institutions that were quick to take Uncle Sam’s money (actually your money and my money) but haven’t been so quick to tell us what they’ve done with it. Further handouts are coming burdened with rules, regulations and (this being the government) mountains of paperwork to ensure that the government’s money is being used the way they want it to be.

After years of deregulation, which economists say is partly to blame for our current predicament, the pendulum is starting to swing in the other direction. For at least the next decade or so, economic experts expect the U.S. to embrace increased government regulation. In fact, angry citizens, many of whom feel they’re being robbed to support bad business decisions and executive excess, are demanding greater regulation and more stringent government oversight.

Once his team settles in, industry experts expect to see the government sticking an ore in wherever and whenever the President thinks the economy or a particular industry needs a shove. And because of the government’s tremendous investment in the country’s banks and businesses, the President will consider it his right, perhaps even his duty, explained economic analyst Chris Kuehl in a recent Fabricators & Manufacturers Association, International newsletter. “The Fed is already more engaged in the U.S. banking system than ever before, and that involvement will likely expand,” warns Kuehl. “The Treasury Department is already a part owner of most of the major banks in the country, a leading insurance company, and perhaps, in time, the Big Three auto companies. That gives the U.S. government a major stake in the performance of its largest companies, which will mean direction and advice.”

So sharpen your pencils, add an extra box or two of paper to your office supply order this month and prepare to add a chair in the boardroom for Uncle Sam. It looks like the red tape is going to be flowing again!

Why Ergonomic Equipment Makes Smart Sense

With the loss of time on the job and the expense of injuries billed to Workman’s Compensation or for that matter even the legal representation in a liability law suit, the initial investment in ergonomic equipment for your warehouse and maintenance staff is a good investment.

Wikipedia defines ergonomics in this statement:
“Ergonomics is the scientific discipline concerned with designing according to human needs, and the profession that applies theory, principles, data and methods to design in order to optimize human well-being and overall system performance. [2] The field is also called human engineering, and human factors.”

When you invest in equipment that helps to protect your employees and staff from injury, you are investing in increased productivity, potentially lower legal costs for your business, and better employee morale and health.

Ergonomic engineered equipment may initially cost more than other equipment but in the big scheme they may very well be the investment that you simply should not overlook. With over exertion being one of the leading workman’s compensation claims in a document provided by the State of Washington with an average incurred medical cost of $7,233 the investment in machinery that does the heavy work in the warehouse, factory floor, or facility is simply a smart investment in protecting your business from potential medical expenses and legal fees.

To put this in perspective, just in Washington State alone, the Washington State Department of Labor and Industries reported that in 2008 that there were 24,667 claims for overexertion with a total incurred cost of $178,414,838 with an average claim size of $7,233. This is just for one state! Tally this up in 50 states and employee overexertion is one of the key injuries that many companies can work to prevent by supplying equipment that helps protect the employee from overexertion on the job.

If you are not aware of the new equipment that is available to make your staff work more carefully, prevent over exertion, and to increase productivity, we invite you to visit the website of DJ Products the specialist in pullers, movers, motorized carts, electric cart pushers, and CartCaddy dolly movers. They will be happy to provide the information you need to make the “right “ equipment purchase for your specific needs.

Does Obama Have Muscle to Win Ergonomics Fight?

Like actor Mickey Rourke’s amazing return to the Hollywood ring in The Wrestler, labor is back; and President Obama is in its corner cheering its revival. After eight years struggling on the ropes during the Bush administration, labor has bounced back into the Washington ring and is gaining strength — and it’s bringing the ergonomics fight with it.

“I do not view the labor movement as part of the problem; to me it’s part of the solution,” President Obama was widely quoted as saying recently. During his campaign, Obama repeatedly promised American workers a safer, healthier work environment. Industry watchers have taken that to mean a return to and an expansion of the ergonomic standards initiated during the Clinton administration but quickly rescinded under Bush. With a Democratic-controlled Congress backing him up, Obama appears to have the muscle to force ergonomics back into the legislative ring.

By naming California Democratic Representative Hilda Solis as his new Labor Secretary, Obama appears to be saying to U.S. industry and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, a long-time vocal foe of ergonomics legislation, “Bring it on!” Although she’s still running the confirmation gauntlet, Solis has received the recommendation of the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee and is expected to be confirmed, possibly as soon as tomorrow.

The daughter of immigrants and union workers, Solis has long ties to labor groups and has been a champion of ergonomics in the workplace since joining the House of Representatives in 2001. Her home state of California is the only state in the U.S. that mandates ergonomic standards that force employers to provide a safe and healthy work environment for their workers. Concerned about the cost of implementing ergonomic standards, those opposed to ergonomic legislation fear that California’s tough ergonomics rules will be used to create a national model.

That Obama would eventually grapple with ergonomics to improve labor conditions has been a given since his campaign days. But there’s been a lot of speculation in the industry and in Washington about how and when Obama would try to take down ergonomic opponents. By calling Solis into his corner, Obama seems to be getting ready to enter the ring. It will be interesting to listen to the President’s State of the Union speech tomorrow night. A direct statement about ergonomics or workplace safety could indicate that the fight is on!